Program

Location: ETH main building, rooms HG E 21 and HG E 22
Registration starts at 8 a.m.

  Session Title    
  Author
Presenter 		Paper Title Discussant
Friday, 25 June 2010
9.00 – 11.00 Contributed session: Expectation measurement with survey data  
  Günes
Celik
 		Differences in Expectation Formation of Consumers in Emerging and Industrialized Markets Lyziak
  Lyziak Measuring consumer inflation expectations in Europe and examining their forward-lookingness Gabriel
  Gabriel Household inflation expectations and inflation dynamics Günes
Chair Gabriel    
11.00 – 11.15 BREAK    
11.15 – 12.15 Keynote Address: Jörg Breitung
Quantifying survey expectations: On the empirical validity of the probability approach
12.15 – 13.45 LUNCH    
13.45 – 15.45 Contributed session: Survey data and forecasting in real time  
  Siliverstovs
Kholodilin 		Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland de Bondt
  de Bondt
Hahn 		Predicting Recessions Wohlrabe
  Wohlrabe
Carstensen
Ziegler 		Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators under Test: A Case Study for the Euro Area Industrial Production Siliverstovs
Chair Wohlrabe    
15.45 – 16.00 BREAK    
16.00 – 17.20 Contributed session: Sectoral analyses with survey data  
  Lefèvre Willingness-to-pay for local milk-based dairy products in Senegal Bruno
  Bruno Non-linear relation between industrial production and business surveys data Lefèvre
Chair Bruno    
18.00 – 19.00 Zurich: Guided tour  
19.30 – 22.00 Conference dinner  
Saturday, 26 June 2010
9.00 – 11.00 Contributed session: Methods  
  Nolte
Pohlmeier
 		The Good, the Bad and the Ugly: Analyzing Forecasting Behavior within a Quantal Response Framework with Misclassification Köberl
  Krüger
Pohlmeier
Mokinski 		Combining Survey Forecasts and Time Series Information: The Case of the Euribor Bialowolski
  Bialowolski Confirmatory Factor Analysis in the Measurement of Consumer Sentiment Nolte
  Köberl
Müller 		Business cycle dynamics: A bottom-up approach with survey data Krüger
Chair Köberl    
11.00 – 11.30 BREAK    
11.30 – 12.30 Keynote Address: Roy Batchelor
Quantification of a tendency survey: An experiment with neural networks
12.30 – 13.00 END of CONFERENCE